Goodbye Traditional 401(k) Plans; Hello Hybrids
Why IBM’s new retirement plan could reshape your future
Ric Edelman: It's Monday, February 12th. On today's show, the retirement plan of the future just might now be here. For decades, if you worked at IBM and you contributed to their 401(k) plan, IBM matched your contribution dollar for dollar, up to 5%. So if you're making 100 grand and you put in five grand, that's 5%. IBM put in another five grand. You've effectively doubled your money even before you get any investment returns. And it's actually even better than that. The five grand you put in is tax-deductible, which really means the contribution only costs you about 3500 bucks. But the account is now worth $10,000 thanks to IBM's match. That means you've nearly tripled your money before it got invested, and in the profits from the investments that you choose.
And, well, you can see why 401(k)a are so popular and why every financial advisor I've ever met always encourages that their clients contribute to their company retirement plan, especially when there's a matching contribution provided. In fact, I've always gone a step further, telling my clients, back when I had them, that they should contribute the maximum that they are allowed to on a pretax basis, regardless of whether their employer matches or not. My reasoning is simple, the more money you put in, the more money you're going to have in retirement. That's what counts.
But now, starting this year, IBM has terminated its 5% matching program. Instead, the company is putting that money into a new program for employees that it calls a retirement benefit account.
In addition to funding this account every year with an amount equal to 5% of your salary, the account earns 6% guaranteed for the next three years. After that, the return will be equal to the 10-Year Treasury.
Now, the bad news, it is not all that great a return. The 10-Year Treasury is earning like 4% right now, compared to the potential returns you can get from the stock market. But the good news is, you don't have to contribute a penny to this. All the money is coming from IBM. You still get to put your money into the 401(k), where you can still go for those higher returns in the stock market. And when you leave IBM, you can take the money with you in this new account as a lump sum payment. Or you can roll it over to an IRA, or you can roll it into your next employer's 401(k). You can also take the money as a monthly annuity for as long as you live. Hey, that sounds a lot like a pension. And that is exactly IBM's point.
If you're like a lot of other people, you're worried that you might run out of money during retirement, especially if you live as long as people like me say you're going to live. Thanks to exponential technologies and innovations in health care, we can expect to live to age 100 or beyond, which is great unless your money doesn't last as long as you do. People, therefore, say they want to guarantee that they're going to get income for life.
And nobody seems very confident these days about Social Security or today's pension and annuity products. So this new approach from IBM is designed to give its workers some peace of mind. The downside is that you're not going to earn as much as if you leave it in the 401(k) and manage it properly, but let's face it, most people will not leave their money in a 401(k) and they don't manage the money there properly. So this new idea is a way to protect people from their own bad behavior.
In other words, what was old is new again. 40 years ago, every Fortune 500 company offered a pension to their workers. Today, only 11% of private employers do that. They've all shifted to 401(k)plans. And IBM was one of the first to make that shift and everybody else followed. So now that IBM is again making this shift, will the rest of the Fortune 500 soon follow IBM again? I think they will.
So the message for you is get ready for a whole new kind of retirement plan from your employer. If you've been computing your future 401(k) balance based on the employer match, you need to redo your calculations because your future balance is going to be less than you thought once your employer stops that matching contribution. And if you've been managing your 401(k) correctly, the new plan isn't going to produce as much in profits as what you're getting now.
On the other hand, if you haven't been maximizing your 401(k), or if you haven't been managing it the best way, then this means you'll end up with more than you thought. This creates a whole new planning conversation for you, financial advisors, and a whole new business opportunity for the retirement planning industry.
If you're a financial advisor, I invite you to join me for a practice management event with some of the most accomplished financial advisors and RIAs in the country. This event is open only to financial advisors and RIA firms, no fund companies or product providers. It is Wealth Management Convergence and you'll learn all about the vital topics that matter to you right now - generative AI, exponential technologies, the latest on longevity, estate planning, crypto, and a whole lot more. You'll also network with some of the most successful advisors in the country, and every session is main stage so you don't miss a thing. No deadly PowerPoints, just engaging conversation. You can also sign up free for one-on-one meetings and our “Dine-arounds”. You'll walk away with the investment strategies that your clients need today, and that you can use to build your practice. Join me in West Palm Beach, Florida, March 10 to 12 at Wealth Management Convergence and connect with fellow financial advisors just like you. Register right now. Use the link in the show notes and enter discount code WMC2024. You'll save $100. Look forward to seeing you there.
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