Is Money Laundering a Crypto Thing?
Plus, can immigration offset our birth dearth?
Ric Edelman: It’s Thursday, July 11th. And Joe Biden is still running for president.
On today's show, is crypto money laundering a thing? You've heard the claims from Elizabeth Warren, Jamie Dimond, and others that the only thing crypto is good for is money laundering. Frankly, there's no one, absolutely no one, who seriously examines the crypto industry that says this.
It's a $2.5 trillion global marketplace, and to believe that the only thing it does is help people hide illicit profits, finance terrorists, pay for sex trafficking, and avoid taxes? It's just plain silly, but it makes for a great soundbite to help somebody score a political point. And that's too bad, because although there are a lot of people who own bitcoin, as many as a third of all US households, a whole lot more people don't own bitcoin or Ethereum, but are curious about it. If you're wondering if you should invest, and as you're trying to figure this out, you certainly don't want to own something if the only thing it's good for is helping crooks be crooks.
So let me give you the actual numbers. Yeah, we have actual numbers because one of the best things about crypto is that every transaction is recorded on a public ledger, a ledger that anybody with an internet connection can go see. Every transaction is there throughout history. Every transaction is permanent. They can't be altered, copied, or erased. And so this makes it easy to see what has happened and what is happening.
And there are a lot of companies that analyze this data. Coin Metrics, they're the folks that give moment by moment prices to CNBC and a lot of others. Chainalysis and other crypto market surveyors. Chainalysis just released their latest report. They focused on digital assets that were sent to intermediary services and wallets, as well as fiat off ramping services – all of this in 2023, they discovered the illicit money laundering addresses that can convert crypto to cash received $22.2 billion worth of crypto last year. $22.2 billion. That's a big number and I have no intention of minimizing or trivializing this number, but let's put it into context. First, $22.2 billion of money laundering transactions. That's out of a total transaction volume of crypto of $36.6 trillion. In other words, money laundering represents 0.06% of all crypto trades.
Still $22.2 billion is a lot of money. That's why Elizabeth Warren wants to ban bitcoin. Her thesis seems to be that if we ban bitcoin, we'll eliminate money laundering. But didn't money laundering exist prior to bitcoin? Her logic just doesn't make any sense. And if bitcoin doesn't exist, is Elizabeth Warren saying that money laundering will end? That doesn't make any sense either. Consider this: according to the United Nations, somewhere between $1.6 trillion and $4 trillion of the total global GDP is used for money laundering. We're talking 2%-4% of global GDP. What did I say the percent was for crypto? Not 2%-4%, 0.06%. So if Elizabeth Warren wants to eliminate crypto as a way to fight money laundering, she first ought to fight to eliminate cash because crooks are passing around a hundred dollars bills, not MasterCards.
And here's one final statistic from Chainalysis, that $22.2 billion figure, that's 30% less than the prior year. In other words, criminals are discovering that crypto is really not a great way to move illicit cash, and they're doing it less and less. In fact, this was specifically noted a couple of months ago by the US Treasury's Undersecretary for Terrorism and Financial Intelligence. He's Brian Nelson, and he confirmed that terrorist groups like Hamas and the Palestinian Islamic Jihad are using crypto in far smaller amounts than compared to what the media is reporting. He testified at a hearing before the House Financial Services Committee, and he said the terrorist groups prefer what he called traditional products and services.
In other words, cash. That's because cash is really hard to trace. But crypto is digital money. And digital money leaves a digital footprint. It's easy for law enforcement to track crypto and then grab it. Last year, in fact, Hamas announced that it would stop receiving contributions of bitcoin. That was after the US seized $2 million of crypto from them. I'm not citing all this to say you ought to buy bitcoin or Ethereum. And this isn't financial advice. I'm just saying that if you've been reluctant to buy crypto because of concerns about money laundering, you need to find another excuse for not investing in this asset class.
Coming up next on The Truth About Your Future, a question that you've asked me. Stay tuned.
-----
Ric Edelman: I got a question from John from Massachusetts. Here's what he wrote.
“Regarding the Boomers retiring with insufficient savings over the next few years, what about the effect of immigration? 2.7 million legal immigrants per year. Those folks will get jobs and pay taxes. Doesn't this offset our problem of not making enough babies?”
Ric Edelman: That's a good theory, John, but unfortunately, no, it doesn't work for a couple of reasons. Number one, we aren't, generating enough immigrants into the country to offset the lack of babies. Second, we are in competition for those immigrants with every other country that is equally suffering from insufficient, baby production. And that's true of just about every country in the world. So, we are all competing for those very same immigrants and the countries where the immigrants are coming from are themselves not enough babies. The reason those people are immigrating is because they see better economic opportunity as well as the release of political or religious persecution or violence or all the other things that causes people to go from their homeland to an adopted home.
And so, yeah, it's a good idea. Can certainly help the situation, but it isn't enough to actually solve the problem. And in the future, as more and more countries face the reality of their birth dearth, they are going to be competing very heavily for these immigrants. And so, no, I don't believe it is a solution to our problem. It's something that can help, but no, it isn't a solution.
You can send me your question as well, just send it to Ask Ric at TheTruthAYF.com. The link is in the show notes.
-----
Ric Edelman: Hey financial advisors, are you fluent in crypto, blockchain, bitcoin, Ethereum, stablecoins, tokenization – and most importantly, crypto taxation, estate planning, and asset allocation? Take the online course, become Certified in Blockchain and Digital Assets. Thousands of financial professionals in 37 countries have enrolled. Become fluent in crypto so you can help your clients and build your practice. Enroll today and get your CBDA designation.
-----
Ric Edelman: On tomorrow's show, when it comes to crypto, it's Trump versus Biden. Plus, an interview with three experts, Vibhaw Arya, the COO of Shufro Rose, Ron Bullis, the CEO of Lifeworks Advisors, and Dr. Sindhu Joseph, the founder and CEO of CogniCor.
-----
Subscribe to podcast updates: https://form.jotform.com/223614751580152
Ask Ric: https://www.thetayf.com/pages/ask-ric
-----
Links from today’s show:
Become Certified in Blockchain and Digital Assets: https://dacfp.com/certification/
Ask Ric: https://www.thetayf.com/pages/ask-ric
-----
Follow Ric on social media:
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/RicEdelman
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/ric_edelman/
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ricedelman/
X: https://twitter.com/ricedelman
YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@RicEdelman
-----
Brought to you by:
Invesco QQQ: https://www.invesco.com/qqq-etf/en/home.html
State Street Global Advisors: https://www.ssga.com/us/en/intermediary/etfs/capabilities/spdr-core-equity-etfs/spy-sp-500/cornerstones
Schwab: https://www.schwab.com/
Disclosure page: https://www.thetayf.com/pages/sponsorship-disclosure-fee
-----