New Research Answers the Question: Is College Worth It?
Plus, the fast-growing crypto segment you never heard of: stablecoins
Ric Edelman: It's Tuesday, August 27th. There's a fundamental question I've been asking you for years on this program, and I'm going to ask it again. And the reason I'm going to ask it is because I am, I think for the very first time, going to definitively answer it for you as well. Not that the answer is mine. The answer comes from research that has just been generated. Here's the question: Does it pay to go to college?
Well, that question has been posed very often, and we've all become rather cynical, haven't we? This is why college enrollment is at a 10-year low. It's why so many people argue that going to college really doesn't provide the payoff because of the incredible expense. We know how upset so many Americans are with the amount of their student loan debt and the fact that they're not enjoying the financial rewards of that college degree. Let alone assuming that they've gotten the degree and didn't drop out along the way. While there's no degree, they're still saddled with the debt.
It's a big political issue, too, as the Biden administration has been trying to pay off everybody's student loan debts. The court rejected the plan for the third time. Nevertheless, the president has waived about $8 billion worth of student loan debts so far.
Anyway, the question does college pay off? Well, there's a new report that has just done an amazing analysis of this. The report takes a look at the cost of college and compares the degrees to the incomes you earn from the degree. In other words, what is the lifetime income from the field you're able to work in, thanks to your degree, minus the cost of going to college?
Not just the money, but the time associated with it. And they did this for 53,000 college degrees. So, a pretty comprehensive study. And here is what they discovered. Nearly a quarter of bachelor's degrees have a negative ROI, a negative return on investment, meaning you spend more to get the degree in time and money then you get back in increased income. So nearly a quarter of bachelor's degrees are a bad deal. 43% of associate degrees have a negative ROI, and 50% of master's degrees fail to pay off. The median return for a bachelor’s degree is about $160,000, meaning, if you go to college, you get a degree, the typical degree, will pay you about $160,000 of lifetime benefit, lifetime earnings above and beyond what you would get in a career that didn't require college.
Now that's the median. Meaning half of them you get even less than that. The other half you get more. And we know what those are. The highest returns? Go get a degree in engineering, computer science, nursing, or economics. I don't think any of us would be terribly surprised at engineering, science, or economics. I'm excited to see nursing.
But wait a minute, a certificate in the technical trades has a higher payoff than most bachelor's degrees. In other words, go become an automotive mechanic, go get involved in HVAC, go become a plumber or a carpenter or an electrician. You will end up better off financially than if you went to college. And a two-year associate's degree in liberal arts? Zero ROI, total waste of time. And masters, as I said, nearly half of all master's degrees leave you financially worse off. Of course, the best? Law, medicine, and dentistry. You have an ROI of a million dollars or more in those fields.
And here's the worst part of all. Not only do a quarter of bachelor's degree programs have a negative ROI, a third of all college students are pursuing degrees that have a negative ROI. So one out of three college kids are wasting their time. And that includes the students who are going to college thanks to Pell Grants. Pell Grants are the federal support system that allows kids from low-income households to go to college who otherwise wouldn't be able to afford to do so. So the good news is, kids from low-income households are able to go to college. Problem is, they're getting degrees in fields that are not going to generate a good economic outcome. I think we need to rethink our policy here. Let's for sure encourage kids to go to college, but let's make sure they're studying to get a degree that's going to have an economic outcome that is desirable. And if the degree can't produce that, well then let's simply lower the cost of the degree. I'm not suggesting you don't get the degree in that field. I'm suggesting we don't charge as much for it. Some big policy changes needed in order to make college reasonable.
Stay tuned, coming up next here on the podcast, one of the questions that I got from a listener here to the podcast.
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Ric Edelman: Welcome back. The Truth About Your Future continues. Got a question from Solon. He's a financial advisor from Pennsylvania:
"Listening to your podcast on stablecoins, I'm assuming there aren't any regulations yet requiring that the collateral be managed, like SEC Rule 2A-7 does for money market funds. Does Tether, USDC, and the other stablecoins disclose their collateral holdings? We don't want a situation like we did with banks, when they mismatch their assets and liabilities. Nor do we ever want to see a run on a stablecoin.”
Solon, you're absolutely right. Your suspicions are correct. There are no rules governing stablecoins. And that's why we've seen the scandals we've seen. Remember Terra Luna a few years ago, which led to the crypto winter that we've recently emerged from? This is why stablecoin legislation is essential. And it's also why stablecoin legislation is likely to be the first of the new crypto laws that Congress passes because stablecoins are a big deal thing. Unlike bitcoin, where people are buying to make money stablecoins, people are buying to store their money and they treat it like US treasuries. They want it safe. They want it liquid and they aren't terribly concerned about the return. They're more interested in the safety and liquidity. We need to make sure the stablecoins are delivering on that fact. And there are no rules that require how they operate. So, it's easy for Congress to create this law because we aren't dealing with the profit motive.
It's also urgent because these things are holding almost $200 billion in assets. So a lot of people's money's at risk if these things blow up like Tara Luna did. So, yeah, you're exactly correct and I am hopeful that we're gonna see stablecoin legislation before too long.
You can send me your question as well, just send it to AskRic@TheTruthAYF.com. The link is in the show notes.
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Ric Edelman: Hey, I want to tell you about a webinar we have coming up. This is all about the new coming interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. Everybody's expecting those rate cuts to occur soon. And we are now entering a fundamentally different economic environment than we've had in recent years. For the first time in years, interest rates will be coming down. So, are you ready to seize the best investment opportunities in this evolving market? If you're a financial advisor, are you ready for the adjustments to your client portfolios you might want to make? The seminar is going to be on Wednesday, September 11th at 1:00pm ET. I'm going to be joined by Jerome Schneider from PIMCO, the world's largest bond fund manager. And we're going to talk with you about how to adjust client portfolios, figuring out how much cash you want to have in your account and a deep dive into the new fixed income opportunities. It's going to be a really fun and informative webinar – Wednesday, September 11th, register now for free, the links in the show notes. If you're an advisor, you get one CE credit. I hope to see you there.
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Ric Edelman: I’m glad you’re with me here on The Truth About Your Future. If you like what you're hearing, be sure to follow and subscribe to the show, wherever you get your podcasts, Apple, Spotify, YouTube – and remember leave a review on Apple podcasts. I read them all! Never miss an episode of The Truth About Your Future. Follow and subscribe on your favorite podcast app. I'll see you tomorrow.
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Links from today’s show:
Does College Pay Off? A Comprehensive Return On Investment Analysis https://freopp.org/whitepapers/does-college-pay-off-a-comprehensive-return-on-investment-analysis/
Rates are Poised to Drop, Now What? (9/11 Webinar – Register Now for Free!): https://www.thetayf.com/pages/rates-are-poised-to-drop-now-what
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